Saturday, September 12, 2009

We're 11-4 and Rolling

After last night's Toledo pick, Podolsky's Picks is now 11-4 year to date and rolling. For details on today's picks go to www.Podolskys Picks.com where we discuss the Ohio State game against USC and Notre Dame against Michigan.

Other picks today include Oregon, Boise State, Kansas and Satnford.

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Ducks Can't Swim on Blue Turf

Our picks are back. For all the details of our first best bet of the year, Boise State over Oregon, and the rest of this week's games, go to:
www.podolskyspicks.com

Thursday, August 6, 2009

Get Rich's Football Picks at www.PodolskysPicks.com

Beginning in August Rich Podolsky will be posting his football picks and his opinionated columns at:

www.PodolskysPicks.com.

Don't miss it. The last two years Rich was on fire during the first three weeks of the college football season.


And you can catch his fash resports at: twitter.com/podolskyspicks




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Friday, June 5, 2009

And the Belmont Winner Is.....

Even though the Belmont is the longest of the Triple Crown races, it is rarely won by a horse coming from the clouds. The last Belmont winner to do so was Lemon Drop Kid 10 years ago, and he still reached the leaders by the top of the stretch.

Lemon Drop Kid, by the way, was the name of one of Bob Hope's most famous films. Hope played the title character, who was a lovable race track tout, and had a habit of popping lemon drops whenever he got nervous.

I bring up Lemon Drop Kid because his son, Charitable Man, is my choice to win this year's Belmont. The shape of the race makes it easy to tab Charitable Man. He's the only quality horse in the field who has enough early speed to stay close to the pace. Add the fact that his trainer, Kiaran McLaughlin, is very, very confident the horse is ready for a giant race.

Most of the other so-called contender all like to come from behind: Chocolate Candy, Mine That Bird, Dunkirk and Summer Bird. Of those four I think Chocolate Candy has the best chance to upset Chaitable Man. Chocolate Candy rand a huge race against the grain to be second in the Santa Anita Derby. he followed that up with a fifth in the Kentucky derby despit getting bumped early and racing wide when the rail was the place to be. Instead of trying the Preakness, his trainer, Jerry Hollendorfer brought him to Belmont where he's been training smoothly the past five weeks.

Min That Bird is a likely candidate for the third spot, but my trifecta ticket will also have Miner's escape and Summer Bird on it in the third position. Miner's Escape is the likely front runner. Trained by Nick Zito, who pulled off last year's 55-1 front-running surprise Da Tara, Miner's escape is capable of hitting the board after his recent rapid improvement.

Summer Bird ran sixth in the Derby although he had several excuses. He's got the look of a horse who can hit the Bird at a much more generous price than Dunkirk, who was 4-1 in the Derby and never ran a step after getting banged around early.

So here's my Superfecta ticket:

Using for first: Charitable Man

Using second: Chocolate Candy, Miner's Escape, Mine That Bird.

Using third: previous three plus Summer Bird and Dunkirk

Using fourth: all but Luv Gov.




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Sunday, May 31, 2009

Jackson's Next Move: Change Filly's Name to Rachel Jackson

Okay, I was wrong. I said that if Rachel Alexandra could stand up, owner Jess Jackson would enter her in Saturday’s Belmont Stakes.

Reluctantly, Jackson finally caved to pressure from his trainer, the media and scores of industry experts who said running the filly a fifth time in nine weeks was suicide. But Jackson did not go down easily.

He did not surrender the day after the Preakness when jockey Calvin Borel said the poor filly was “exhausted.” He did not surrender when she worked a slow half mile a week later. And he did not even surrender when it was obvious that Borel needed his release to ride Mine That Bird in the Belmont.

You see, every day Jackson made us wait was another day he got his name in the papers and another way to promote his Kendall-Jackson wines. Finally on Friday, kicking and screaming, Jackson said he’d give Rachel some time off.

Make no mistake; Jackson bought Rachel a few weeks ago so he could get his name in the press. So don’t be surprised if Jackson has another promotional idea brewing. By the end of the summer he could change her name from Rachel Alexandra to Rachel Jackson. He could start a new line of white wines, call them Rachel Jacksons, and put her likeness on every bottle.

Or he could stay away from the writers and the microphones and let a great filly complete a great career. But I’m afraid that would be asking too much.



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Sunday, May 17, 2009

It's Crazy to Run Rachel in Belmont

Jess Jackson, I assume, is an egomaniac. He slapped his name on his wines (Kendall-Jackson), and it appears he's not happy out of the limelight in rcaing, now that his champion Curlin is retired.

So he bought Rachel Alexandra for a bundle and ran her on just two weeks rest in the Preakness and beat the boys. Now they're getting her set to run again in just three weeks in the most grueling race of all, the mile and a half Belmont Stakes.

The problem is: she's "exhausted," according to what jockey Calvin Borel said Sunday morning after the Preakness. She was definitely tiring at the end of the race which could be the result of her lack of rest between races.

These days trainers rarely run a horse with less than a month between races, if not more. If she runs in the Belmont on June 6th, it will be her fifth race in nine weeks, or an average of one every 13 days. That's too much for just about any horse to survive.

And it's unlikely nobody is going to challenge her in the Belmont. Fresh shooters will be coming out of the weeds to take her on. Remember Smarty Jones? He lost to Nick Zito's Birdstone costing Smarty the Triple Crown. Winning jockey Edgar Prado was almost apologetic for his winning ride?

After her performance in the Preakness Rachel Alexandra is crying out for a break. But I don't expect Jackson to give her one. He needs to have his name in the papers. If she can stand up, she'll be entered.

So don't be shocked if America gets its heart broken again.




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Friday, May 15, 2009

How to Clean Up at the Preakness

Here's the Preakness play:

Not being greedy, I'm going to reverse the horses with the two highest Beyer (speed figures) in their last race. Both Big Drama (post 1) and Rachel Alexandra (post 13) posted a 108 Beyer and neither got that number by surprise.

Rachel's been notching 100 plus Beyers regularly. If she loses it will be because she's coming off of just two weeks rest or because she was bounced wide, losing valuable lengths, by her post.

Big Drama has had seven weeks to recover from his 108 and I don't expect him to drop much off of that. And although he has the one hole, he doesn't need the lead. He's shown a great ability to rate near the lead, then pounce.

These are the two fastest horses in the race. They should finish one-two and produce the minimum of a $40 exacta. With Big Drama finishing first it could pay as much as $60. No need to fool around with tris and supers.

The bet: $20 exacta box: #1 Big Drama and #13 Rachel Alexandra. ($40 wager).

Save bet: $2 exactas using #1 and #13 on top, with #2, #3, #8 and #11 for second (Mine That Bird, Musket Man, General Quarters and Take the Points). ($16 wager).

For those who need to bet the trifecta, use #1 and #13 both first and second and first and third with #2, #3, #8 and #11 for both third and second as the case may be. A $1 tri part-wheel would cost $16 using #1 and #13 both ways.

Good luck and pray for a fast track.