Friday, May 15, 2009

How to Clean Up at the Preakness

Here's the Preakness play:

Not being greedy, I'm going to reverse the horses with the two highest Beyer (speed figures) in their last race. Both Big Drama (post 1) and Rachel Alexandra (post 13) posted a 108 Beyer and neither got that number by surprise.

Rachel's been notching 100 plus Beyers regularly. If she loses it will be because she's coming off of just two weeks rest or because she was bounced wide, losing valuable lengths, by her post.

Big Drama has had seven weeks to recover from his 108 and I don't expect him to drop much off of that. And although he has the one hole, he doesn't need the lead. He's shown a great ability to rate near the lead, then pounce.

These are the two fastest horses in the race. They should finish one-two and produce the minimum of a $40 exacta. With Big Drama finishing first it could pay as much as $60. No need to fool around with tris and supers.

The bet: $20 exacta box: #1 Big Drama and #13 Rachel Alexandra. ($40 wager).

Save bet: $2 exactas using #1 and #13 on top, with #2, #3, #8 and #11 for second (Mine That Bird, Musket Man, General Quarters and Take the Points). ($16 wager).

For those who need to bet the trifecta, use #1 and #13 both first and second and first and third with #2, #3, #8 and #11 for both third and second as the case may be. A $1 tri part-wheel would cost $16 using #1 and #13 both ways.

Good luck and pray for a fast track.

No comments: